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    CAD Will Have Less Upward Momentum in the New Year

    Abstract:As the G10 currency that performed the best in 2019, Canadian dollar may see a rather smooth horizontal trend this year partly because weakening domestic economy, and partly because the positive influence of easing trade tensions has been fading. CAD rose 5% against the USD in 2019, with nearly half of the increase gained in the last few weeks, benefiting as several other currencies from a reduce of risk factors at the end of 2019.

      As the G10 currency that performed the best in 2019, Canadian dollar may see a rather smooth horizontal trend this year partly because weakening domestic economy, and partly because the positive influence of easing trade tensions has been fading. CAD rose 5% against the USD in 2019, with nearly half of the increase gained in the last few weeks, benefiting as several other currencies from a reduce of risk factors at the end of 2019.

      Recently released data showed Canada‘s economy is slowing down, suggesting a great likelihood of interest rate cut from the central bank. The Bank of Canada had held interest rate at 1.75% unchanged last year, amid a wave of rate slash by major central banks like the US Federal Reserve and the European Central Bank. Statistics released in the recent few weeks show Canada’s economy shrank 0.1% in October, 2019, while November saw a decline of over 70,000 jobs. Canadas annualized growth based on the quarter-over-quarter rate of Q4 is estimated to be under 1%.

      As risk factors will not significantly reduce in 2020, from a technical perspective, 1.3036 will be the pivot point for USD/CAD in the first half of 2020, and if the exchange rate remains above this level, USD may rise against CAD.

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    • Chinese Yuan
    • Danish Krone
    • Euro
    • British Pound
    • Hong Kong Dollar
    • Hungarian Forint
    • Japanese Yen
    • South Korean Won
    • Mexican Peso
    • Malaysian Ringgit
    • Norwegian Krone
    • New Zealand Dollar
    • Polish Zloty
    • Russian Ruble
    • Saudi Arabian Riyal
    • Swedish Krona
    • Singapore Dollar
    • Thai Baht
    • Turkish Lira
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