Abstract:The U.S. dollar remained elevated on Wednesday following its biggest surge in three weeks against major peers overnight, with Federal Reserve officials talking up the potential for further, aggressive interest rate hikes.
The U.S. dollar index, which gauges the currency against six major peers, wobbled about 0.3% lower by the Asian afternoon to 106.120, amid a hint of relief that House Speaker Nancy Pelosis visit to Taiwan brought few surprises.
The euro inched 0.2% higher to $1.1085, though it remains under pressure, while the yen clawed back a little of its overnight drop at rose 0.3% to 132.71 per dollar.
Pelosis arrival in Taiwan, which China considers a breakaway province, prompted anger in Beijing, with warplanes buzzing the Taiwan Strait and the announcement of live-fire military drills — though investors felt this was expected.
“The market got a bit more relaxed, perhaps over the U.S.-China situation.” said Moh Siong Sim, currency strategist at Bank of Singapore. “I think the market was bracing probably for a worse outcome, maybe no news is good news.”
On Tuesday, Fed officials Mary Daly and Charles Evans signalled that they and their colleagues remain resolute and “completely united” over getting rates up to a level that will more significantly curb economic activity.
The comments by “the normally very dovish Daly” and “the equally very dovish Evans” helped yields and the dollar higher, and the dollar index could top 108 in the next few weeks, according to Kristina Clifton, a strategist at Commonwealth Bank of Australia, writing in a note to clients.
Benchmark 10-year Treasury yields, were steady on Wednesday after leaping nearly 14 basis points overnight. [US/]
Sterling edged 0.2% higher to $1.2180, while the Antipodeans were pinned near Tuesdays lows and seem to be taking a breather from a month-long rally. [GBP/]
The Australian dollar slumped on Tuesday after the central bank opened the door to a slowdown or pause in the pace of future hikes. It was last steady at $0.6930. [AUD/]
The New Zealand dollar slipped after a surprise rise in unemployment also weighed on hike expectations. It was last at $.06255.
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Early on Wednesday, the US Dollar compared to its main competitors. The USD Index (DXY) fluctuates within a narrow range below 104.00, having ended the previous four trading days. At 18:00 GMT, the Federal Reserve (Fed) will release the updated Summary of Economic Projections, also known as the "dot plot." Starting at 18:30 GMT, Fed Chairman Jerome Powell will hold a press conference to discuss policy and the economic questions.
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