Abstract:While NATO believes the military conflict in Ukraine will continue, there is a glimmer of hope stemming from last week's peace talks that has been updated in the following article:
Russia-Ukraine peace talks have advanced, a meeting between Putin And Zelensky is possible
However, Vladimir Putin's meeting with Volodymyr Zelenskyy will only take place after the development of a specific written document by the Russian Federation and Ukraine, Dmitry Peskov, the Kremlin Press Secretary has stated.
The Russian chief negotiator Vladimir Rostislavovich said Moscow-Kyiv talks will resume on Monday experts to continue work on the agreement. Medinsky said that a draft treaty between Russia and Ukraine is not yet ready “for submission to a summit meeting,” although Ukraine has become more realistic about its neutral and non-nuclear status.
Further key updates
Georgia PM says will not impose economic sanctions against Russia.
Germany refused to supply Kyiv with 100 units of marder-type infantry fighting vehicles.
Zelensky said that Ukraine has not received security guarantees from any country.
The Russian defence ministry says scenes in the city of Bucha were staged to distribute photos, and videos via western media.
US Blinken says western sanctions may be lifted depending on the outcome of negotiations between Russia and Ukraine.
Peskov is convinced that the goals of the military operation in Ukraine will be achieved in full.
Russia wants to declare victory over Ukraine by May 9; US intelligence believes that Russia wants to take Donbas under full control by May 9.
Poland is ready to deploy us nuclear weapons on its soil, Polish deputy prime minister Kaczynski.
Market implications
As talks continue, this should be a positive backdrop for the open this week. Risk assets such as gold could struggle from the off.
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Wednesday's major data releases and macroeconomic events are expected to cause volatility to increase after another day of erratic trading in the financial markets. The Spring Budget for the UK will be released, and January Retail Sales figures for January will be made available by Eurostat. ADP Employment Change for February and January JOLTS Job Openings will be discussed later in the session on the US economic docket.
Major currency pairings are still trading in familiar ranges early on Tuesday after the erratic trading on Monday. The US economic docket for the American session will include the factory orders data for January and the ISM Services PMI survey for February. Final updates to the February PMI for the US, Germany, the UK, and the EU will also be released by S&P.
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