Abstract:British Pound (GBP) Price Outlook: More Losses Likely for GBP/USD
GBP PRICE, NEWS AND ANALYSIS:
GBP/USD is looking technically weak, with 1.3786 the near-term target after the pairs drop from 1.40 last Wednesday.
Thats despite confirmation that UK GDP contracted by 6.1% year/year in the first quarter of 2021 and a likely truce in the so-called sausage wars between the UK and the EU.
GBP/USD OUTLOOK STILL BEARISH
From a technical perspective, GBP/USD looks likely to extend it recent decline from its high at 1.40 last Wednesday, June 23. As the two-hour chart below shows, the immediate target to the downside is the 1.3786 low recorded on June 21 but if that breaks the 1.3670 low touched on April 9 will likely be the bears next target.
GBP/USD PRICE CHART, TWO-HOUR TIMEFRAME (MAY 20 – JUNE 30, 2021)
In the news, data released this session confirmed that UK GDP contracted by 6.1% year/year in the first quarter of this year but the data had no impact, being of historic interest only.
Also in the news, a truce to end a continuing post-Brexit trade row between London and Brussels over the movement of chilled meats from Great Britain to Northern Ireland, called the sausage wars, is reported to be close ahead of Thursdays deadline. However, that has been well signalled so will leaveGBP/USD unaffected.
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GBP: What To Expect From BoE
The British pound opened the week marginally higher across a range of currencies, with GBP/USD up above 1.2762.
At 14:00 today (GMT+8), the U.K. released its jobs data, which is worse than expected. In this condition, investors should pay heed to reversal signals on GBP/USD and GBP/JYP.
Bank of England Governor Andrew Bailey change his comment last week that negative rate “is not an approach we’re considering or planning to take” and said it’s the right time to review and assess all policy tools