|

资讯

    首页   >     行业    >     正文

    Fitch, S&P downgrade Argentina debt as default risk grows

    摘要:Ratings agencies Fitch and Standard & Poor's downgraded Argentina's sovereign debt rating on Friday, flagging higher chances of a default in the wake of a shock primary election result that plunged the country into its la

      By Gabriel Stargardter

      作者:Gabriel Stargardter

      BUENOS AIRES (Reuters) - Ratings agencies Fitch and Standard & Poor's downgraded Argentina's sovereign debt rating on Friday, flagging higher chances of a default in the wake of a shock primary election result that plunged the country into its latest economic crisis.

      布宜诺斯艾利斯(路透社) - 评级机构惠誉和标准普尔周五下调阿根廷主权债务评级,标志着违约率下降的可能性更大一场令人震惊的初选结果让国家陷入了最近的经济危机。

      Argentine markets were in free-fall for most of the week after Sunday's vote when center-left presidential candidate Alberto Fernandez trounced center-right President Mauricio Macri. The scale of Fernandez's victory suggested he could win the October ballot in the first round, potentially putting an end to free-market economic reforms and an IMF-backed austerity plan.

      阿根廷市场在周日投票后的一周大部分时间都处落体状态总统候选人阿尔贝托·费尔南德斯击败了中右翼总统毛里西奥·马克里。费尔南德斯的胜利规模表明他可以在第一轮赢得10月份的投票,可能会结束市场经济改革和IMF支持的紧缩计划。

      The downgrades cap a tough week in which the peso lost nearly 20% of its value, forcing the central bank to eat into its reserves with dollar auctions. Fitch downgraded Argentina's sovereign debt rating from 'B' to 'CCC,' while S&P lowered its rating to 'B-' from 'B.'

      降级在一个艰难的一周里,比索损失了近20%的价值,迫使央行在美元拍卖中蚕食其储备。惠誉将阿根廷的主权债务评级从“B”下调至“CCC”,而标准普尔将评级从“B”下调至“B-”。

      “The downgrade of Argentina's ratings reflects elevated policy uncertainty following the primary elections, a severe tightening of financing conditions, and an expected deterioration in the macroeconomic environment that increase the likelihood of a sovereign default or restructuring of some kind,” Fitch said.

      “阿根廷评级下调反映初选后政策不确定性增加,融资条件严重收紧,宏观经济环境预期恶化,增加了主权违约或某种重组的可能性,”惠誉表示。{/ p>

      {5}

      Fitch said it expected Argentina's economy to contract 2.5% in 2019, down from a previous forecast of 1.7%. Fitch added that it saw government debt rising to around 95% of gross domestic product in 2019.

      {5}

      S&P saw 2019 growth falling 2.3%, compared with a prior forecast of a 1.6% decline.

      标准普尔指数2019年增长率下降2.3%,此前预测为下降1.6%瑞银全球财富管理公司首席投资办公室新兴市场策略师Alejo Czerwonko表示,降级并不会对许多人对阿根廷债务稳固性的看法产生重大影响。

      Alejo Czerwonko, emerging markets strategist at UBS Global Wealth Management's Chief Investment Office, said the downgrade was not going to substantially change many people's minds about the solidity of Argentine debt.

      p>

      “Argentina was already rated deep into junk territory and this is pushing the rating a bit deeper, but it reveals little new information to investors,” he said.

      “阿根廷已被评为垃圾领域,这使得评级更加深入,但它向投资者揭示了很少的新信息,”他说。

      While Fitch said it expects growth to be flat in 2020, S&P saw 2020 growth at 0.5%, compared with a prior forecast of 2.2%, highlighting uncertainty over the policies of Fernandez.

      虽然惠誉说它是exp随着2020年经济增长持平,标准普尔指数2020年增长率为0.5%,而先前预测为2.2%,凸显了费南德斯政策的不确定性。

      Fitch said the chances of Fernandez winning the election had grown, raising doubts about the future of Macri's IMF-backed austerity plan. The fact that Fernandez's running mate is leftist former President Cristina Fernandez de Kirchner, a longtime skeptic of the IMF program, only heightened those doubts, Fitch said.

      惠誉表示机会费尔南德斯赢得选举的人数增加,引发了对马克里IMF支持的紧缩计划未来的怀疑。费希南斯的竞选伙伴是左翼前总统克里斯蒂娜·费尔南德斯·德基什内尔,他长期以来一直怀疑国际货币基金组织的计划,这只会加剧这些疑虑,惠誉说。

      “We could lower the ratings over the next 12-18 months if economic and financial stresses continue to mount,” S&P said, adding it saw “a greater than one-in-three chance of a downgrade over the coming year.”

      “我们可以降低收视率在经济和金融压力持续增加的情况下,未来12-18个月,”标准普尔表示,并表示“未来一年降级的可能性超过三分之一。”

    热点资讯

    泰铢

    • 阿联酋迪拉姆
    • 澳元
    • 加元
    • 瑞士法郎
    • 人民币
    • 丹麦克朗
    • 欧元
    • 英镑
    • 港币
    • 匈牙利福林
    • 日元
    • 韩元
    • 墨西哥比索
    • 林吉特
    • 挪威克朗
    • 新西兰元
    • 波兰兹罗提
    • 俄罗斯卢布
    • 沙特里亚尔
    • 瑞典克朗
    • 新加坡元
    • 泰铢
    • 土耳其里拉
    • 美元
    • 南非兰特

    美元

    • 阿联酋迪拉姆
    • 澳元
    • 加元
    • 瑞士法郎
    • 人民币
    • 丹麦克朗
    • 欧元
    • 英镑
    • 港币
    • 匈牙利福林
    • 日元
    • 韩元
    • 墨西哥比索
    • 林吉特
    • 挪威克朗
    • 新西兰元
    • 波兰兹罗提
    • 俄罗斯卢布
    • 沙特里亚尔
    • 瑞典克朗
    • 新加坡元
    • 泰铢
    • 土耳其里拉
    • 美元
    • 南非兰特
    当前汇率  :
    --
    请输入金额
    泰铢
    可兑换金额
    -- 美元
    风险提示

    WikiFX数据均来自各国外汇监管机构的官方数据,如英国FCA、澳大利亚ASIC等,所公布的内容亦均以公正、客观和实事求是为宗旨,不向外汇交易平台收取公关费、广告费、排名费、数据清洗费等灰色费用。WikiFX会尽最大努力保持我方数据与各监管机构等权威数据方数据的一致及同步性,但不承诺与其实时保持一致和同步。

    鉴于外汇行业的错综复杂,不排除有个别外汇交易商通过欺骗手段获得监管机构的合法注册。如WikiFX所公布数据与实际情况有不符之处,请通过WikiFX“投诉”和“纠错”功能,向我们提出,我们将及时进行核实查证,并公布相关结果。

    外汇、贵金属和差价合约(OTC场外交易)是杠杆产品,存在较高的风险,可能会导致亏损您的投资本金,请理性投资。

    特别提示,WikiFX所列信息仅供参考,不构成投资建议。外汇平台由客户自行选择,平台操作带来的风险,与WikiFX无关,客户需自行承担相关后果和责任。

    ×

    选择国家/地区