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    美国:就业创造下降 - 加拿大国家金融银行

    Abstract:加拿大国家金融银行(National Bank Financial of Canada)分析师克里希恩•兰格萨米(Krishen Rangasamy)表示,美国劳动力市场很强劲,但不如之前想象的那么强

      加拿大国家金融银行(National Bank Financial of Canada)分析师克里希恩•兰格萨米(Krishen Rangasamy)表示,美国劳动力市场很强劲,但不如之前想象的那么强劲。

      核心要点

      我们将在2020年2月得到新的修订后系列就业数据,但美国劳工统计局(Bureau of Labor Statistics)昨日公布的基准修订数据显示,去年3月的非农就业人数比此前估计的低50.1万人。

      在截至2019年3月的12个月里,新增就业岗位接近200万个,比此前的估计低20%。私营部门新增就业岗位的下调幅度略大。

      就业数据下调会导致美联储改变立场吗?联邦公开市场委员会(FOMC)的鸽派人士可能认为,由于就业增长放缓,劳动力市场的疲软程度超过了最初的预期。相比之下,鹰派人士可能会说,在截至今年3月的12个月里,即便是较低的16.6万/月就业增长速度,也足以吸纳新增劳动力。他们还可以指出工资上涨,以支持这样一种观点,即数据下调不会改变劳动力市场紧张的整体局面。

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