|

News

    Homepage   >     Industry    >     Main body

    Swiss Franc Price Outlook: USD/CHF Rally Grinds into Trend Resistance

    Abstract:The Swiss Franc may find its footing here as price reverses off near-term trend resistance. These are targets and invalidations levels that matter on the USD/CHF charts.
    •   USD/CHF grinds into uptrend resistance- risk for exhaustion while below 9951

        美元/瑞士法郎进入上行阻力位 - 低于9951的疲惫风险

      The Swiss Franc has fallen more than 2.7% against the US Dollar from the mid-August / yearly extremes with USD/CHF stretching into key resistance this week. The advance remains vulnerable while below this threshold with the weekly opening-range now in focus. These are the updated targets and invalidation levels that matter on the USD/CHF charts. Review this week's Strategy Webinar for an in-depth breakdown of this Sterling price setup and more.

      瑞士法郎兑美元汇率下跌超过2.7% 8月中旬/年度极端情况,美元兑瑞士法郎本周延续至关键阻力位。在低于此门槛的情况下,进展仍然很脆弱,每周开放范围现在成为焦点。这些是美元/瑞士法郎图表中重要的更新目标和失效水平。回顾本周的战略网络研讨会,深入分析这种英镑价格设置等。

      {6}

      Swiss Franc Price Chart – USD/CHF Daily

      瑞士法郎价格图表 - 美元/瑞士法郎每日

    Swiss

      Chart Prepared by Michael Boutros, Technical Strategist; USD/CHF on Tradingview

      图表由技术战略师Michael Boutros编写; Tradingview上的美元/瑞士法郎

      Technical Outlook: In my most recent Swiss Franc Trade Outlook, we noted that USD/CHF was approaching a major, “resistance zone at 9931/48 – a region defined by the 100% ext of the August advance and the 50% retracement of the yearly range.” Out bottom line cited that we were,“looking for a pivot here with the broader advance at risk while below 9951.” Price registered a high this week at 9946 before turning lower with Swissy poised to mark an outside-day reversal off fresh monthly highs today.

      技术展望:在我最近的瑞士法郎贸易展望中,我们注意到美元兑瑞郎接近主要的,“阻力区位于9931/48 - 这个区域由8月份的100%前进和年度范围的50%回撤定义。”出线底线表示我们是,“在这里寻找更广泛的支点风险提升至9951以下。”本周价格创下9946美元的高点,之后瑞士兑日元汇率走低,预示着今日新的月度高点出现逆转。

      {13}

      Swiss Franc Price Chart – USD/CHF 120min

      {13}

    Swiss

      Chart Prepared by Michael Boutros, Technical Strategist; USD/CHF on Tradingview

      图表由技术策略师Michael Boutros编写; USD / CHF关于Tradingview

      Notes: A closer look at Swissy price action sees USD/CHF trading within the confines of an ascending pitchfork formation extending off the August lows with the recent advance holding below the 75% parallel for the last two weeks. Note that this slope converges on the 9948/52 region over the next few days and further highlights the technical significance of this threshold.

      备注:仔细观察瑞士的价格走势,美元兑瑞士法郎在8月低点延伸的干草叉形成范围内交易,最近的涨幅在过去两周内保持在75%以下。注意这个斜率收敛于9948 / 52区域在接下来的几天内进一步凸显了这一门槛的技术意义。

      Weekly open support rests at 9875 backed closely by the highlighted trendline confluence. A break back below the lower parallel / yearly open at 9839 would be needed to suggest a more significant high was registered this week. A topside breach of the weekly opening-range highs / 9952 would mark resumption of the broader uptrend with such a scenario targeting pitchfork resistance (currently ~9990s) and the 61.8% retracement at 1.0016.

      每周开盘支撑位于9875,受到突出趋势线汇合的支撑。需要较低的平行线/年度开盘价9839才能显示本周会出现更高位的高点。上行突破每周开盘高位/ 9952将突破更广泛的上行趋势,这种情况针对干草叉阻力(目前〜 9990s)和1.0016的61.8%回撤。

      Bottom line: USD/CHF is testing uptrend resistance here with the recent price advance vulnerable while below 9948/52. From a trading standpoint, a good spot to reduce long-exposure / raise protective stops. Look side-ways to lower with a break of the weekly range lows to challenge the lower parallels. Ultimately, a larger decline would offer more favorable long-entries closer to trend support.

      底线:美元/瑞士法郎正在测试上行阻力,近期价格上涨受到冲击,而低于9948/52。从交易的角度来看,这是减少长期暴露/提高保护性止损的好地方。看看通过突破每周区间低点来降低价格,以挑战较低的平行线。最终,较大的下跌将提供更接近趋势支撑的更有利的长期参与。

      Swiss Franc Trader Sentiment – USD/CHF Price Chart

      Swiss Franc Trader Sentiment - USD / CHF Price Chart

    Swiss
    •   A summary of IG Client Sentiment shows traders are net-short USD/CHF - the ratio stands at -1.12 (47.1% of traders are long) – weak bullish reading

        IG客户情绪摘要显示交易者是净空头美元/瑞士法郎 - 比率为-1.12 (47.1%的交易者持有多头) - 弱看涨读数

    •   Long positions are 1.6% lower than yesterday and 20.5% lower from last week

        多头头寸为1.6%l比昨天下降20.5%

    •   Short positions are0.7% lower than yesterday and 12.0% higher from last week

        空头头寸比昨天减少0.7%,比上周增加12.0%

    •   We typically take a contrarian view to crowd sentiment, and the fact traders are net-short suggests USD/CHF prices may continue to rise. Traders are further net-short than yesterday and last week, and the combination of current sentiment and recent changes gives us a stronger USD/CHF-bullish contrarian trading bias from a sentiment standpoint.

        我们通常采取逆向观点来观察市场情绪,而交易商净空头表明美元兑瑞士法郎的价格可能继续上涨。交易商进一步净空至昨日和上周,当前情绪和近期变化的结合使我们从情绪的角度看美元/瑞士法郎看涨逆势交易偏差。

      ---

      ---

      {26}

      Key US / Swiss Data Releases

      {26}{27}

    US

      Economic Calendar - latest economic developments and upcoming event risk.

      {27}

      Active Trade Setups

      活跃的交易设置

    •   Gold Price Targets: XAU/USD Recovery Remains Vulnerable- GLD Levels

        黄金价格目标:XAU / USD复苏仍然脆弱 - GLD级别

    •   Near-term Trade Setups in USD/CAD, GBP/USD & USD/CHF

        美元/加元,英镑/美元及美元/瑞士法郎近期交易设置

    •   Sterling Price Outlook: British Pound Rally Stalls– GBP/USD Levels

        英镑价格展望:英镑反弹失速 - 英镑/美元水平

    •   Canadian Dollar Price Chart: USD/CAD Breakdown Plummets into Support

        加元汇率走势图:美元兑加元突破大幅下挫支持

    •   Gold Price Targets: XAU/USD Searches for Direction at Six-Year Highs

        黄金价格目标:XAU /美元寻找六年高点的方向

    Latest News

    Malaysian Ringgit

    • United Arab Emirates Dirham
    • Australia Dollar
    • Canadian Dollar
    • Swiss Franc
    • Chinese Yuan
    • Danish Krone
    • Euro
    • British Pound
    • Hong Kong Dollar
    • Hungarian Forint
    • Japanese Yen
    • South Korean Won
    • Mexican Peso
    • Malaysian Ringgit
    • Norwegian Krone
    • New Zealand Dollar
    • Polish Zloty
    • Russian Ruble
    • Saudi Arabian Riyal
    • Swedish Krona
    • Singapore Dollar
    • Thai Baht
    • Turkish Lira
    • United States Dollar
    • South African Rand

    United States Dollar

    • United Arab Emirates Dirham
    • Australia Dollar
    • Canadian Dollar
    • Swiss Franc
    • Chinese Yuan
    • Danish Krone
    • Euro
    • British Pound
    • Hong Kong Dollar
    • Hungarian Forint
    • Japanese Yen
    • South Korean Won
    • Mexican Peso
    • Malaysian Ringgit
    • Norwegian Krone
    • New Zealand Dollar
    • Polish Zloty
    • Russian Ruble
    • Saudi Arabian Riyal
    • Swedish Krona
    • Singapore Dollar
    • Thai Baht
    • Turkish Lira
    • United States Dollar
    • South African Rand
    Current Rate  :
    --
    Amount
    Malaysian Ringgit
    Convertible Amount
    -- United States Dollar
    Risk Warning

    The Database of WikiFX comes from the official regulatory authorities , such as the FCA, ASIC, etc. The published content is also based on fairness, objectivity and fact. WikiFX doesn't ask for PR fees, advertising fees, ranking fees, data cleaning fees and other illogical fees. WikiFX will do its utmost to maintain the consistency and synchronization of database with authoritative data sources such as regulatory authorities, but does not guarantee the data to be up to date consistently.

    Given the complexity of forex industry, some brokers are issued legal licenses by cheating regulation institutes. If the data published by WikiFX are not in accordance with the fact, please click "Complaints "and "Correction" to inform us. We will check immediately and release the results.

    Foreign exchange, precious metals and over-the-counter (OTC) contracts are leveraged products, which have high risks and may lead to losses of your investment principal. Please invest rationally.

    Special Note, the content of the Wikifx site is for information purposes only and should not be construed as investment advice. The Forex broker is chosen by the client. The client understands and takes into account all risks arising with Forex trading is not relevant with WikiFX, the client should bear full responsibility for their consequences.

    ×

    Select Country/Area